The WTO Cut Its 2025 Trade Forecast. The Numbers Matter More Than the Headline
April's forecast revision showed merchandise trade contracting — and the gap between container rates and real volumes is where the policy story lives.
Valentina Sokolov
Timely items on scheduled economic events: statistical releases, central bank meetings, budget statements and forecast updates. Each entry carries the number, the expectation, the prior reading and any revision applied to it. Built for market analysts, treasury teams and reporters filing against a release calendar.
Same-day reporting on data releases and central bank decisions, giving the figure, the consensus it beat or missed, and the revision to the prior period.
April's forecast revision showed merchandise trade contracting — and the gap between container rates and real volumes is where the policy story lives.
Valentina Sokolov


The WEO is a 190-country forecasting machine on a strict calendar — and its own error tables are the best guide to how much to trust it.
Lena Fischer
Three private firms grade the world's governments — with published criteria, committee votes, and a record that includes missing a global crisis.
Valentina Sokolov