Economy News
What the Yield Curve Says About Recessions
An inverted Treasury curve has preceded every U.S. recession since 1955 — with one false alarm — and the 2022-2024 inversion was the longest on record.
Valentina Sokolov · July 25, 2026
Economy News
Timely items on scheduled economic events: statistical releases, central bank meetings, budget statements and forecast updates. Each entry carries the number, the expectation, the prior reading and any revision applied to it. Built for market analysts, treasury teams and reporters filing against a release calendar.
Economy
How Weekly Jobless Claims Numbers Get Made
Valentina Sokolov · June 22, 2026
Economy News
What Purchasing Managers Indexes Tell Us About the Economy
PMIs are the fastest economic indicators published — survey snapshots with a 50 threshold that move markets hours after the month ends.
Lena Fischer · June 3, 2026
Economy News
How Quantitative Tightening Changes Bank Reserves
QT is the Fed letting its balance sheet run off — and the real question it answers is how small reserves can get before money markets strain.
Valentina Sokolov · May 15, 2026
Economy News
How GDP Figures Get Calculated — and Revised
The first GDP print of a quarter is built on partial data and shown to three significant digits anyway; the revisions that follow are the system working.
Valentina Sokolov · April 10, 2026