Economy News
How Quantitative Tightening Changes Bank Reserves
QT is the Fed letting its balance sheet run off — and the real question it answers is how small reserves can get before money markets strain.
Valentina Sokolov
Economy News
Timely items on scheduled economic events: statistical releases, central bank meetings, budget statements and forecast updates. Each entry carries the number, the expectation, the prior reading and any revision applied to it. Built for market analysts, treasury teams and reporters filing against a release calendar.
Same-day reporting on data releases and central bank decisions, giving the figure, the consensus it beat or missed, and the revision to the prior period.
Economy News
What the Dollar Index Means for Global Trade
The DXY tracks the dollar against six currencies with a 57.6 percent euro weight — a narrow gauge that still moves oil, debt, and emerging markets.
Valentina Sokolov
Economy News
Unemployment Rate vs Participation Rate: The Real Difference
The unemployment rate only counts people looking for work — which is why a falling rate can be bad news and the participation rate holds the truth.
Valentina Sokolov
Economy News
What Purchasing Managers Indexes Tell Us About the Economy
PMIs are the fastest economic indicators published — survey snapshots with a 50 threshold that move markets hours after the month ends.
Lena Fischer
Economy News
How the NBER Decides a Recession Has Begun
The unofficial arbiter defines recessions by depth, diffusion, and duration — which is why the 2020 call came in June and official GDP never mattered.
Valentina Sokolov