Economy News
How GDP Figures Get Calculated — and Revised
The first GDP print of a quarter is built on partial data and shown to three significant digits anyway; the revisions that follow are the system working.
Valentina Sokolov
Economy News
Timely items on scheduled economic events: statistical releases, central bank meetings, budget statements and forecast updates. Each entry carries the number, the expectation, the prior reading and any revision applied to it. Built for market analysts, treasury teams and reporters filing against a release calendar.
Same-day reporting on data releases and central bank decisions, giving the figure, the consensus it beat or missed, and the revision to the prior period.
Economy News
What the Yield Curve Says About Recessions
An inverted Treasury curve has preceded every U.S. recession since 1955 — with one false alarm — and the 2022-2024 inversion was the longest on record.
Valentina Sokolov
Economy News
How Inflation Is Measured: CPI vs PCE
America has two inflation thermometers, the Fed watches the slower one, and the gap between them is a story about housing and medical bills.
Valentina Sokolov
Economy News
How the Fed's Dollar Swap Lines Actually Work
Valentina Sokolov