How Sovereign Credit Ratings Get Decided
Three private firms grade the world's governments — with published criteria, committee votes, and a record that includes missing a global crisis.
Valentina Sokolov · July 29, 2026
Timely items on scheduled economic events: statistical releases, central bank meetings, budget statements and forecast updates. Each entry carries the number, the expectation, the prior reading and any revision applied to it. Built for market analysts, treasury teams and reporters filing against a release calendar.
Timely items on scheduled economic events: statistical releases, central bank meetings, budget statements and forecast updates. Each entry carries the number, the expectation, the prior reading and any revision applied to it. Built for market analysts, treasury teams and reporters filing against a release calendar.
Three private firms grade the world's governments — with published criteria, committee votes, and a record that includes missing a global crisis.
Valentina Sokolov · July 29, 2026
An inverted Treasury curve has preceded every U.S. recession since 1955 — with one false alarm — and the 2022-2024 inversion was the longest on record.
Valentina Sokolov · July 25, 2026

PMIs are the fastest economic indicators published — survey snapshots with a 50 threshold that move markets hours after the month ends.
Lena Fischer · June 3, 2026
QT is the Fed letting its balance sheet run off — and the real question it answers is how small reserves can get before money markets strain.
Valentina Sokolov · May 15, 2026